{"id":1626,"date":"2015-07-29T17:29:17","date_gmt":"2015-07-29T09:29:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/blog\/?p=1626"},"modified":"2015-07-29T17:29:58","modified_gmt":"2015-07-29T09:29:58","slug":"%e5%8e%84%e7%88%be%e5%b0%bc%e8%ab%be%e7%8f%be%e8%b1%a1%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%80%e6%96%b0%e7%99%bc%e5%b1%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/%e5%8e%84%e7%88%be%e5%b0%bc%e8%ab%be%e7%8f%be%e8%b1%a1%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%80%e6%96%b0%e7%99%bc%e5%b1%95\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u73fe\u8c61\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u767c\u5c55"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u73fe\u8c61\u57282015\u5e74\u521d\u5f62\u6210\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u6301\u7e8c\u81f3\u4eca\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u5982\u4f55\uff1f <\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\uff08El Nino\uff09\u662f\u6307\u8d64\u9053\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u6d77\u6c34\u6eab\u5ea6\u51fa\u73fe\u7570\u5e38\uff0c\u7e7c\u800c\u5f71\u97ff\u5168\u7403\u5929\u6c23\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\u3002\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u897f\u5cb8\u5c0d\u958b\u4e4b\u6771\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6c34\u8b8a\u6696\uff0c\u4ee4\u7576\u5730\u6f01\u7372\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u9019\u80a1\u6696\u6d41\u901a\u5e38\u51fa\u73fe\u65bc\u8056\u8a95\u7bc0\u5f8c\uff0c\u7576\u5730\u4eba\u7a31\u70ba\u8056\u5b30\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u53c8\u7a31\u70ba\u8056\u5b30\u73fe\u8c61\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7576\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u897f\u5cb8\u5c0d\u958b\u4e4b\u6771\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6c34\u8b8a\u51b7\uff0c\u6696\u6c34\u5340\u79fb\u5411\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u7a31\u70ba\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\uff08La Nina\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u65bc\u6d77\u6d0b\u53ca\u5927\u6c23\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u606f\u606f\u76f8\u95dc\uff0c\u8d64\u9053\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6c34\u6eab\u5ea6\u6539\u8b8a\u4ee4\u5927\u6c23\u74b0\u6d41\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5f71\u97ff\u6c23\u58d3\u5206\u4f48\u3002\u6211\u5011\u4ee5\u5927\u6eaa\u5730\u53ca\u9054\u723e\u6587\u7684\u6c23\u58d3\u5dee\u4f5c\u70ba\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u7a31\u70ba\u5357\u65b9\u6fe4\u52d5\u6307\u6578\uff08Southern Oscillation Index\uff09\u3002\u7576\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u73fe\u8c61\u51fa\u73fe\u6642\uff0c\u5357\u65b9\u6fe4\u52d5\u6307\u6578\u70ba\u8ca0\u6578\uff1b\u76f8\u53cd\u7576\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u73fe\u8c61\u51fa\u73fe\u6642\uff0c\u5357\u65b9\u6fe4\u52d5\u6307\u6578\u70ba\u6b63\u6578\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u53c8\u7a31\u70ba\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\uff0d\u5357\u65b9\u6fe4\u52d5\uff08El Nino-Southern Oscillation\uff09\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31ENSO\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u540c\u570b\u5bb6\u53ca\u5730\u5340\u5c0d\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u73fe\u8c61\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\u7a0d\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u9999\u6e2f\u5929\u6587\u53f0\u65e9\u5728\u53bb\u5e7411\u6708\u5df2\u516c\u4f48\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u73fe\u8c61\u51fa\u73fe\u3002\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u8d64\u9053\u6771\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u6d77\u6c34\u6eab\u5ea6\u66fe\u56de\u5fa9\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1\u6b63\u5e38\uff0c\u4f46\u57285\u6708\u958b\u59cb\u51fa\u73fe\u660e\u986f\u504f\u6696\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u5340\u6bd4\u6b63\u5e38\u9ad82-3\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.weather.org.hk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/ssttlon5_c.gif\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.weather.org.hk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/ssttlon5_c.gif?resize=504%2C323\" alt=\"ssttlon5_c\" width=\"504\" height=\"323\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1628\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n\u5716\uff1a\u8d64\u9053\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\uff08\u5317\u7def5\u5ea6\u81f3\u5357\u7def5\u5ea6\uff09\u6d77\u6c34\u6eab\u5ea6\u8ddd\u5e73\uff08\u8207\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u4e4b\u5dee\uff09\u96a8\u6642\u9593\u4e4b\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u7559\u610f\u75312015\u5e745\u6708\u958b\u59cb\u6771\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\uff08\u53f3\u4e0b\u89d2\uff09\u6d77\u6c34\u6eab\u5ea6\u958b\u59cb\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u5340\u6bd4\u6b63\u5e38\u9ad8\u51fa2-3\u5ea6\u3002\uff08\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u6c23\u8c61\u5c40\u6c23\u5019\u9810\u5831\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u73fe\u8c61\u51fa\u73fe\u6642\uff0c\u4e2d\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u53ca\u6771\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7a7a\u6c23\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u7522\u751f\u5c0d\u6d41\u6d3b\u52d5\uff0c\u96e8\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u8f03\u591a\u71b1\u5e36\u6c23\u65cb\u5f62\u6210\u3002\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5247\u7531\u65bc\u7a7a\u6c23\u4e0b\u6c89\uff0c\u65e5\u7167\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u9577\u6642\u9593\u7684\u65e5\u7167\u9020\u6210\u4e9e\u6d32\u5730\u5340\u51fa\u73fe\u4e7e\u65f1\u3002\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u73fe\u8c61\u51fa\u73fe\u6642\u5247\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u71b1\u5e36\u6c23\u65cb\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u4ea6\u8f03\u897f\uff0c\u9032\u5165\u5357\u6d77\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u8f03\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.weather.org.hk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/elnino-lanina.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.weather.org.hk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/elnino-lanina.jpg?resize=775%2C893\" alt=\"elnino-lanina\" width=\"775\" height=\"893\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1627\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/elnino-lanina.jpg?w=775&amp;ssl=1 775w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/elnino-lanina.jpg?resize=260%2C300&amp;ssl=1 260w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 775px) 100vw, 775px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n\u5716\uff1a\u8207\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\uff08\u4e0a\uff09\u53ca\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\uff08\u4e0b\uff09\u73fe\u8c61\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u5927\u6c23\u74b0\u6d41\u3002\uff08\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u6fb3\u6d32\u6c23\u8c61\u5c40\uff09<\/p>\n<p>2015\u5e74\u81f3\u4eca\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5171\u670913\u500b\u71b1\u5e36\u6c23\u65cb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u670910\u500b\u5728\u6771\u7d93140\u5ea6\u4ee5\u6771\u5f62\u6210\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u8a72\u5340\u7684\u71b1\u5e36\u6c23\u65cb\u6d3b\u52d5\u6bd4\u6b63\u5e38\u6d3b\u8e8d\u3002\u9810\u6599\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u73fe\u8c61\u5c07\u65bc\u4eca\u5e74\u9918\u4e0b\u6642\u9593\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u80fd\u5ef6\u7e8c\u81f3\u660e\u5e74\u6625\u5b63\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.weather.org.hk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/track.gif\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.weather.org.hk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/track.gif?resize=640%2C512\" alt=\"track\" width=\"640\" height=\"512\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1629\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n\u5716\uff1a2015\u5e741-7\u6708\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u71b1\u5e36\u6c23\u65cb\u8def\u5f91\u5716\u3002\uff08\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aUnisys\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<br \/>\n1.\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.noaa.gov\/products\/precip\/CWlink\/MJO\/enso.shtml\" target=\"_blank\">\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u6c23\u8c61\u5c40\u6c23\u5019\u9810\u5831\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6700\u65b0\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u5206\u6790<\/a><br \/>\n2.\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.bom.gov.au\/climate\/enso\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u6fb3\u6d32\u6c23\u8c61\u5c40\u6700\u65b0\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u5206\u6790<\/a><br \/>\n3.\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.weather.gov.hk\/lrf\/enso\/enso-latest_uc.htm\" target=\"_blank\">\u9999\u6e2f\u5929\u6587\u53f0\u6700\u65b0\u5384\u723e\u5c3c\u8afe\u5206\u6790<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#21380;&#29246;&#23612;&#35582;&#29694;&#35937;&#22312;2015&#24180;&#21021;&#24418;&#25104;&#24460;&#65292;&#19968;&#30452;&#25345;&#32396;&#33267;&#20170;&#12290;&#26368;&#26032;&#30340;&#30332;&#23637;&#22914;&#20309;&#65311;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-4"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1626"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1626\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1631,"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1626\/revisions\/1631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weather.org.hk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}